Mexico election 2024 results updates: Claudia Sheinbaum wins presidency

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Read more about Claudia Sheinbaum’s historic win here. Follow our live election results tracker here.

And listen here to The Take podcast on what Mexico’s first female president means for the country’s women.

We are about to wrap up our live coverage of Mexico’s historic election.

Here’s a quick look at what happened:

• Claudia Sheinbaum, a climate scientist and former mayor of Mexico City, is set to become Mexico’s first female president after a landslide victory.
• She won the presidency with 58.3-60.7 percent of the vote, according to a rapid sample count by Mexico’s electoral authority, in what would be the highest vote percentage in Mexico’s democratic history.
• The ruling coalition was also on track for a possible two-thirds supermajority in both houses of Congress, which would allow the coalition to pass constitutional reforms without opposition support.
• Opposition candidate Xochitl Galvez conceded defeat after preliminary results showed her taking between 26.6 and 28.6 percent of the vote.
• The ruling Morena party also won the Mexico City mayorship race, one of the country’s most important posts, according to preliminary results.

• Violence: AMLO claims to have reduced historically high homicide levels by 20 percent since he took office in December 2018. But that’s largely a claim based on a questionable reading of statistics. The real homicide rate appears to have declined by only about 4 or 5 percent in six years by some measures.
• Complex conflict: Under AMLO, cartels have expanded control in much of the country and raked in money – not just from drugs but from extorting legally run industries and migrant smuggling.
• Pemex: Mexico’s state-owned oil company continues to totter under a mountain of debt, while AMLO’s pet project – a new oil refinery – has yet to function, and many of his other infrastructure projects are unfinished, over budget and unlikely to ever turn a profit.
• Debt: AMLO also leaves his successor with a staggering budget deficit equivalent to 5.9 percent of GDP, as well as ongoing costs to fund his building and benefit programmes, which will limit their room for manoeuvre.
• Water and energy shortage: AMLO’s favourite, state-owned Federal Electricity Commission, has proved to be highly polluting and unreliable, especially in the face of drought and an extended heatwave. The whole country faces looming water and energy shortages.
• Environment: Mexico has suffered from long-running drought, wildfires and soaring temperatures causing monkeys to drop dead from trees. The construction of AMLO’s Maya Train has also fuelled environmental concerns.

In a post on X, the president-elect wrote:  “We have made possible the continuity and progress of the fourth transformation. I commit to you that I will not let you down. There is history, there is homeland, there is people, and there is commitment.”

Hemos hecho posible la continuidad y el avance de la Cuarta Transformación. Me comprometo con ustedes a que no les voy a fallar. ¡Hay historia, hay patria, hay pueblo y hay compromiso!https://t.co/e1sxxkVfzV

— Dra. Claudia Sheinbaum (@Claudiashein) June 3, 2024

Preliminary results are also showing that Clara Brugada has won the race for the mayor of Mexico City, according to

Brugada’s win means that an important position in Mexican politics will remain firmly in the hands of the ruling Morena party.

Both president-elect Sheinbaum and outgoing president Lopez Obrador served as mayor of Mexico City earlier in their political careers. The position is seen as a springboard to the presidency.

Brugada formerly served as the mayor of Iztapalapa, a subdivision of Mexico City, and joined Morena in 2014.

The opposition candidate has announced conceding defeat.

“A few minutes ago, I contacted … Sheinbaum to acknowledge the election result. I told her that I saw a Mexico with a lot of pain and violence and that I hope she can resolve the serious problems of our people,” she was quoted as saying by local media.

Ser su candidata ha sido el honor más grande de mi vida. Siempre contarán conmigo como una guerrera que luchará por un país en el que se respete la vida, la verdad y la libertad. ¡Vamos adelante y viva México! https://t.co/MfUre6sYBW

— Xóchitl Gálvez Ruiz (@XochitlGalvez) June 3, 2024

Translation: Being your candidate has been the greatest honour of my life. They will always count on me as a warrior who will fight for a country in which life, truth and freedom are respected. Let’s go ahead and long live Mexico!

The results are extremely significant. They took a long time to come out but they represent more than 74 percent of the total vote. According to the electoral council, they are irrevocable, they really do represent a huge landslide victory for Claudia Sheinbaum.

It’s been recognised by everyone in the country so far.

The final numbers aren’t out yet, they will be by the morning presumably

But this is absolutely a landslide victory, much larger than anyone had expected in fact. And it could be in fact the largest percentage of votes that any candidate has had in recent history in Mexico, including Lopez Obrador himself, an extremely popular president.

But it appears Claudia Sheinbaum has even beaten him.

Speaking to supporters, Sheinbaum said both of her competitors Galvez and Maynez had called her and acknowledged her victory.

Neither candidate have made a public statement yet, however.

AMLO has congratulated Sheinbaum on her victory, posting a video on X.

Mexico’s outgoing president and Sheinbaum’s political mentor said it was a “day of glory” for the people of Mexico, noting that she was the first woman to be elected as the country’s leader.

“Congratulations to all of us who are living in these times of transformation,” he said in the video.

Hoy es un día de gloria porque el pueblo de México decidió libre y democráticamente que Claudia Sheinbaum se convierta en la primera mujer presidenta en 200 años de vida independiente de nuestra República. Felicidades a todas y todos los que tenemos la dicha de vivir en estos… pic.twitter.com/1tg3P7unjf

— Andrés Manuel (@lopezobrador_) June 3, 2024

Sheinbaum just addressed her supporters, promising fiscal discipline, freedom of the press and a continuation of Lopez Obrador’s social programmes.

She also posted on X: “For the first time in 200 years of our Republic, there will be a woman president and she will be transformative. Thanks to all Mexicans. Today with our vote we demonstrated we’re a democratic people.”

Por primera vez en 200 años de la República, habrá una mujer presidenta y será transformadora. Gracias a todas y todos los mexicanos. Hoy demostramos con nuestro voto que somos un pueblo democrático. Les invito a seguir la transmisión.#EnVivo https://t.co/kjKUkFOQnf

— Dra. Claudia Sheinbaum (@Claudiashein) June 3, 2024

Many view Sheinbaum as the voice of Lopez Obrador, but Brewer at WOLA said the politician could chart her own path if she becomes president.

“On the campaign trail, we’ve heard Claudia Sheinbaum essentially endorse all of Lopez Obrador’s policies. So the question on everyone’s mind is to what extent is she going to be her own person and perhaps change some of those policies if she wins the presidency?” Brewer told Al Jazeera.

“She describes herself as someone who loves data, who makes decisions and implements policies based on data and that’s certainly in contrast to Lopez Obrador. She is someone who has an environmental science and engineering background. She has spoken about the need for Mexico to lead more in multilateral spaces on the climate emergency. She’s someone who, despite endorsing militarisation, did strengthen and take action on the civilian police in Mexico City as mayor here. So there’s reason to think that there could be some differences, but the jury is still out.”

Rodrigo Chaves Robles, the president of Costa Rica, has also congratulated Sheinbaum.

He said in a post on X: “Costa Rica and Mexico are sister countries. Congratulations @Claudiashein for winning the presidency democratically and for being the first woman to be president of that country. My best wishes for her and Mexico.”

Costa Rica y México somos países hermanos. Felicidades @Claudiashein por ganar la presidencia democráticamente y por ser la primera mujer en ser presidente de ese país. Mis mejores deseos para ella y México

— Presidencia de la República 🇨🇷 (@presidenciacr) June 3, 2024

We finally have the results from the Electoral Council. It took a lot longer than expected.

They are also quite surprising: a massive victory for Claudia Sheinbaum, the candidate of continuity representing the currently governing party, with 58.3 to 60.7 percent of the votes.

Claudia Sheinbaum has at least scored double the votes of her main opponent. It’s very surprising how massive her victory has been.

The presidency is now almost certainly in the hands of Claudia Sheinbaum, who we are expecting to speak very shortly from her election headquarters. After that, she is expected to come to where we are now, in front of the Presidential Palace, where you can still hear the Mariachis singing in front of thousands of people who have been waiting for hours to greet her.

The INE’s quick count shows the ruling coalition may be able to secure an overwhelming majority in both houses of Congress.

Morena is on track to win between 233 and 251 seats. And together with its allies Partido Verde and Partido del Trabajo, it looks set to control a combined minimum of 346 seats in the 500-member house.

The ruling coalition could also take a similar share in 128-member Senate, according to estimates.

Guadalupe Taddei Zavala, the president of Mexico’s National Electoral Institute (INE), issued a statement thanking the people of Mexico for their commitment to democracy and called on political parties, their candidates and the media to maintain the peace and act with restraint in announcing the results.

The plea came after a number of news organisations called the presidential race based on private exit polls with little official information available.

Zavala said Mexico’s “electoral system is designed to ensure that every vote counts and that every result is verified in a fair and transparent manner”.

The results are likely to be finalised only by June 8.

However, Mexicans are expected to have access to the quick count – a statistical projection estimating voting trends from a random sample of 7,500 polling stations – within a few hours of the polls closing.

The INE was set to announce the quick count at around 10pm on June 2 local time (03:00 GMT on June 3), but that has been delayed and it is not clear when the estimates will be publicised.